STRESS TESTING ADAPTIVE SOCIAL PROTECTION SYSTEMS IN THE SAHELBy Aline Coudouel, Silvia Fuselli and Mira Saidi FLAGSHIP REPORT | OCTOBER 2023Photo credit: Andrea Borgarello, WorldBankPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure Authorized2STRESS TESTING ADAPTIVE SOCIAL PROTECTION SYSTEMS IN THE SAHELABOUT THE SAHEL ADAPTIVE SOCIAL PROTECTION TRUST FUNDThe Sahel Adaptive Social Protection Program (SASPP) is funded by a multi-donor trust fund (MDTF) with contributions from the Denmark Royal Ministry of Foreign Affairs; the Agence Française de Développement (AFD); the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ); and the United Kingdom Foreign, Commonwealth, and Development Office (FCDO). Its objective is to support six Sahelian countries—Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, and Senegal in building ASP systems primarily to help vulnerable households adapt to the impacts of climate change but also to other covariate shocks. The SASPP is managed by the Social Protection and Jobs unit of the West-Central Africa regional department of the World Bank.This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or currency of the data included in this work and does not assume responsibility for any errors, omissions, or discrepancies in the information, or liability with respect to the use of or failure to use the information, methods, processes, or conclusions set forth. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed or considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved.3STRESS TESTING ADAPTIVE SOCIAL PROTECTION SYSTEMS IN THE SAHELForeword ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 4Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................................................................................ 5Authors ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 6Executive Summary ......................................................................................................................